Exchange rates forecasting for Project Control
Econometric forecasting and analysis for the GBP
Word count 1000-1100 incl. SPSS graphs
Meaning of exchange rates, impacts on economy, past fluctuations in GBP , black swan events, currency crisis GBP early 90s/ 2000s and Brexit, USD as world reserve currency,
Illustrate why forecasting currencies, currency risks assessment for project management is important
identify what the data (ARIMA) is aiming to illustrate
Overview/explaining ARIMA and why better suited than other techniques for time series analysis
3) Forecasting GBP/EUR, GBP/USD exchange rates with ARIMA (SPSS)
a) this section needs to provide an illustration of the data (graph)
b) [as text ] for the adequacy of the performance metrics, evaluate ARIMA model performance via MAE, MAPE and RMSE
c) [as text] analyse/interpret actual vs forecast and implications for currency hedging in a project management environment (also currency risk assessment)
Not just provide a graph or datasets but analyse/ explain!
Predict future trends for 2021 & 2022 and disclose limitations, possible impacting factors.
(TEXT not just a graph or a reference)
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